I think it's a small victory, rather than a defeat. It wasn't the populist, eurosceptic victory we all wanted, but the election forced the ruling party to adopt harder immigration & nationalism policies. The next gov will be further right and Geert's gains can hopefully keep pressure on the next gov.
Geert Wilder's PvD picked up 5 seats, bringing them up from 15 to 20 and making PvD the second largest party. This is less than was expected. Unfortunately, the current govt's handling of the Turkish row seems to have paid off in limiting Geert's gains and reducing how much the ruling VVD was expected to lose.
PM Rutte's VVD lost 8 seats, dropping from 41 to 33. They remain the largest party.
The Dutch Labour Party, which is the VVDs current (leftist) coalition partner, lost 29 seats (38->9). They may or may not be in the next government.
The FvD (center right Eurosceptics) gained their first two seats, taken from VVD.
Both D66 (Centrist progs) and CDA (center right) maintained their previous 19 seats. Both will probably be part of the new govt.
The real winner was Groen Links/GL (Green Party), gaining 10 seats (4->14). May or may not be in new govt.
The Christian Union (CU) maintained its previous 5 seats. The Socialist Party maintained its previous 14 seats. Either could be part of the new govt.
The Party for Animals (PvdD) won their first 5 seats.
The Turkish-Dutch party (pro-Erdogan, allowed to vote in Mosques) picked up their first three seats.
There were 9 other seats mostly taken by small prog parties.
So while the progressives made large gains at the expense of liberals, the right barely made any gains.
150 seats total. 75 needed to form a coalition. VVD+CDA+D66 would require 4 more seats.Possibly another small victory from this
Jeroen Dijsselbloem may have to stand down as president of the Eurogroup which coordinates policy in the eurozone if he cannot retain his role as Dutch finance minister in a new coalition after his party losing seats in yesterday’s election.
The Labour Party crashed from second to seventh place in preliminary results, losing more than three quarters of its seats and making it hard for victorious liberal Prime Minister Mark Rutte to retain Mr Dijsselbloem in such a senior cabinet post.
I'm not sure how the Dutch negotiate Coalitions & Cabinet positions, but Rutte might form a govt around VVD+CDA+D66+PdvA, although I'd be surprised if that happened given how badly PvdA just lost.
While I'm optimistic they'll have a further right wing govt, Rutte apologized to the Turks over the recen debacle which makes me skeptical.
Good article on the outcome: http://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/778648/Dutch-election-polls-live-updates-latest-news-Geert-Wilders-Mark-Rutte-Netherlands-poll